← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXFINDEXACCOUNT-31DEC31-T86
Will global account ownership in the next Global Findex release be above 86%?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.5%, flat over 24h, on a 7.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 15/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 1905d 16h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If the World Bank reports that the global account ownership in the next Global Findex release is above 86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
The Underlying is the percentage reported for “World” under the World Bank indicator “Account ownership at a financial institution or with a mobile-money-service provider (% of population ages 15+),” series code FX.OWN.TOTL.ZS, for the earliest reference year after 2024. The Underlying will be rounded to the nearest 0.1 percentage point. If the Underlying is exactly halfway between two values, it will be rounded to the value farther from zero. Revisions to the 2024 observation will not qualify. If the World Bank changes the name, presentation, series code, or publication location without materially changing what the indicator measures, the corresponding successor series may be used.