← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXNEXTTRILLIONAIRE-33-JB
Will Jeff Bezos be the world's second trillionaire?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, flat over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 2265d 13h.
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
⚠ Single sourceSummary
If Forbes reports that Jeff Bezos has become the second person in the world to reach a net worth of at least $1 trillion USD before Jan 1, 2033 then the market resolves to Yes.
Expanded rules
Not published.