← Explore · Kalshi · Market KXUSCPIYEAR-35FEB01-T3.0

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2034 be above 3.0%?

9.0% implied · bid 0.0¢ · ask 100.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 100.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%

Bid / ask / mid0.0¢ / 100.0¢ / 9.0¢

Spread100.0¢ (200.0%)

Change 24h-0.50pt

Change 7d-0.50pt

Longshot taxHistory says buyers here lost ~60%

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 50% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$0

Volume qualityPro

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0

Imbalance50% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score0.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 53 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 13.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-13.53

RSI (14, hourly)52.9

Realized vol 7d3.43pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 3032d 4h.

Time to resolve3032d 4h

Resolution sourcemanual-review

Rules risklow (15)

Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Order book unavailable.

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

History says buyers in the 0-10¢ bucket lost ~60% per $1, on average.

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

⚠ Single source

Settlement sources

Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index

DeadlineNot published.

Close → settlementExpected settlement is 169.5h after scheduled close.

Summary

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2034 is above 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Expanded rules

The initially reported value for December 2034 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2034, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.