← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1028586
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
79.5% implied · bid 79.0¢ · ask 80.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 80.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability80.0%
Bid / ask / mid79.0¢ / 80.0¢ / 79.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$8,021
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,481 / $14,985
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score57.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.40
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 483d 12h.
Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%