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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1060714

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82.5% implied · bid 82.0¢ · ask 83.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 83.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability83.0%
Bid / ask / mid82.0¢ / 83.0¢ / 82.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7,723
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,192 / $8,396
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.45pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth