← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1067836

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

26.8% implied · bid 24.6¢ · ask 29.0¢

The market prices this at 24.1%, up 10.6pt over 24h, on a 4.4¢ spread.

Implied probability24.1%

Bid / ask / mid24.6¢ / 29.0¢ / 26.8¢

Spread4.4¢ (16.4%)

Change 24h+10.55pt

Change 7d+11.55pt

Thin (score 28/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,059

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$42 / $50

Imbalance11% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score28.0 / 100

RSI 94 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.76

RSI (14, hourly)94.1

Realized vol 7d0.89pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 118d 11h.

Time to resolve118d 11h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%