← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1067837
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
55.5% implied · bid 50.0¢ · ask 61.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 61.0%, up 19.0pt over 24h, on a 11.0¢ spread.
Implied probability61.0%
Bid / ask / mid50.0¢ / 61.0¢ / 55.5¢
Spread11.0¢ (19.8%)
Change 24h+19.00pt
Change 7d+26.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 0/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,061
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$0 / $0
Imbalance9% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score0.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 61 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.37
RSI (14, hourly)60.9
Realized vol 7d1.94pt
Change 1h+3.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 11h.
Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%