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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1068307

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

42.0% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 43.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 41.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability41.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 42.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.8%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 14% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,127
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$8,588 / $266
Imbalance14% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.01
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.63pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 483d 12h.

Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth