← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1087310
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 5.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 5.9¢ / 5.5¢
Spread0.9¢ (16.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$138 / $102
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.67
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.05pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 149d 12h.
Time to resolve149d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%