← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1088472
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
42.0% implied · bid 41.0¢ · ask 43.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 43.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability43.0%
Bid / ask / mid41.0¢ / 43.0¢ / 42.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (4.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+14.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$141,205
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$9,037 / $11,573
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)17
Liquidity score50.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.53
RSI (14, hourly)45.8
Realized vol 7d0.70pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%