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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1088475

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?

21.4% implied · bid 20.9¢ · ask 21.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 21.0%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability21.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.9¢ / 21.9¢ / 21.4¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.7%)
Change 24h+0.25pt
Change 7d-1.65pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$45,636
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,039 / $5,759
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score55.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.28
RSI (14, hourly)43.2
Realized vol 7d0.75pt
Change 1h+0.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 8d 7h.

Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth