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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1088476

Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?

8.2% implied · bid 7.6¢ · ask 8.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.7%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability7.7%
Bid / ask / mid7.6¢ / 8.8¢ / 8.2¢
Spread1.2¢ (14.6%)
Change 24h-0.65pt
Change 7d+2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22,879
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,319 / $677
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.25
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.31pt
Change 1h+0.45pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 8d 7h.

Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth