← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1088477

Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

11.2% implied · bid 10.9¢ · ask 11.4¢

The market prices this at 10.9%, up 3.3pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability10.9%

Bid / ask / mid10.9¢ / 11.4¢ / 11.2¢

Spread0.5¢ (4.5%)

Change 24h+3.25pt

Change 7d+4.60pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$51,917

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$901 / $1,438

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score48.7 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.19

RSI (14, hourly)59.5

Realized vol 7d0.35pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 8d 7h.

Time to resolve8d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%