← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1088652
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
24.5% implied · bid 23.0¢ · ask 26.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid23.0¢ / 26.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (12.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,101
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$642 / $2,594
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 4.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.97
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.36pt
Change 1h+0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%