← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1088661
Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
4.4% implied · bid 3.9¢ · ask 4.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.4%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability4.4%
Bid / ask / mid3.9¢ / 4.9¢ / 4.4¢
Spread1.0¢ (22.7%)
Change 24h-4.45pt
Change 7d-2.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$19,742
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$281 / $118
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 13 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.5σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-4.48
RSI (14, hourly)12.8
Realized vol 7d0.42pt
Change 1h-4.75pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 8d 7h.
Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%