← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1125102
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
5.5% implied · bid 4.6¢ · ask 6.3¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid4.6¢ / 6.3¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.7¢ (31.2%)
Change 24h-0.90pt
Change 7d+1.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,095 / $185
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 13 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.65
RSI (14, hourly)12.5
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h-0.15pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 15d 6h.
Time to resolve15d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%