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Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

26.7% implied · bid 26.2¢ · ask 27.2¢

The market prices this at 26.2%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability26.2%

Bid / ask / mid26.2¢ / 27.2¢ / 26.7¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.7%)

Change 24h+0.20pt

Change 7d+7.65pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,138

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,644 / $150

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score46.9 / 100

RSI 39 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.22

RSI (14, hourly)39.3

Realized vol 7d0.34pt

Change 1h-0.05pt

Resolves in 14d 4h.

Time to resolve14d 4h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%