← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1125104

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

37.5% implied · bid 37.0¢ · ask 38.0¢

The market prices this at 38.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability38.0%

Bid / ask / mid37.0¢ / 38.0¢ / 37.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (2.7%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+7.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$91

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,893 / $1,702

Imbalance4% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score46.8 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.51

RSI (14, hourly)75.0

Realized vol 7d0.30pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 15d 6h.

Time to resolve15d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%