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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1125105

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

21.0% implied · bid 20.0¢ · ask 22.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 22.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability22.0%
Bid / ask / mid20.0¢ / 22.0¢ / 21.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (9.5%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-6.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$14
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,832 / $636
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.42
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 15d 6h.

Time to resolve15d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth