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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1129894

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

98.8% implied · bid 98.6¢ · ask 98.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 98.5%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability98.5%
Bid / ask / mid98.6¢ / 98.9¢ / 98.8¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h-0.30pt
Change 7d+0.30pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 99/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,019
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$23,228 / $792,502
Imbalance13% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score98.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.85
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h-0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 25d 7h.

Time to resolve25d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth