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Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

4.5% implied · bid 4.3¢ · ask 4.6¢

The market prices this at 4.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability4.4%

Bid / ask / mid4.3¢ / 4.6¢ / 4.5¢

Spread0.3¢ (6.7%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d-0.70pt

Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$8,988

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,513 / $3,487

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)2

Liquidity score52.5 / 100

RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.10

RSI (14, hourly)36.0

Realized vol 7d0.10pt

Change 1h-0.30pt

Resolves in 25d 6h.

Time to resolve25d 6h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%