← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1130016
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
26.1% implied · bid 25.9¢ · ask 26.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.9%, up 2.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.
Implied probability25.9%
Bid / ask / mid25.9¢ / 26.2¢ / 26.1¢
Spread0.3¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h+2.20pt
Change 7d+9.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 62/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$13,370
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,753 / $13,533
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score62.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 89 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.60
RSI (14, hourly)88.9
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.40pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 25d 7h.
Time to resolve25d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%