← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1144471
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
4.5% implied · bid 4.4¢ · ask 4.5¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.5%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability4.5%
Bid / ask / mid4.4¢ / 4.5¢ / 4.5¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.2%)
Change 24h+0.20pt
Change 7d-0.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$36,601
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,471 / $1,519
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)5
Liquidity score54.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.00
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.04pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 12h.
Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%