← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1193093
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
20.0% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 21.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 21.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability21.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (10.0%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$25,881
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$999 / $4,306
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score42.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.92
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.77pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 7d 5h.
Time to resolve7d 5h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%