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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1193094

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

77.5% implied · bid 77.0¢ · ask 78.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 78.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability78.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.0¢ / 78.0¢ / 77.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-8.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 40% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$27,230
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,725 / $9,436
Imbalance40% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score56.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 56 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.18
RSI (14, hourly)55.6
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h-1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 8d 6h.

Time to resolve8d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth