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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1193095

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

0.4% implied · bid 0.4¢ · ask 0.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.6%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.6%
Bid / ask / mid0.4¢ / 0.5¢ / 0.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h-0.85pt
Change 7d-0.10pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$19,228
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$180 / $1,347
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score50.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 6 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.23
RSI (14, hourly)5.9
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 8d 7h.

Time to resolve8d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth