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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1235568

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?

62.3% implied · bid 62.1¢ · ask 62.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 62.0%, down 0.6pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability62.0%
Bid / ask / mid62.1¢ / 62.4¢ / 62.3¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h-0.65pt
Change 7d+31.70pt
Longshot tax+2% historically (50-65¢ bucket)

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 79/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$15,156
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$22,438 / $39,448
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score79.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.60
RSI (14, hourly)45.9
Realized vol 7d1.66pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 12d 0h.

Time to resolve12d 0h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (20)
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth

Cost to trade

Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade

Longshot tax — return by price bucket

This market's 50-65¢ bucket has returned +2% per $1, historically.

Who holds this

Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade

Other venues

Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade

How this settles

Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.

Summary

Not published.

Expanded rules

Not published.