← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1243900
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
28.8% implied · bid 28.1¢ · ask 29.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.4%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 1.5¢ spread.
Implied probability29.4%
Bid / ask / mid28.1¢ / 29.6¢ / 28.8¢
Spread1.5¢ (5.2%)
Change 24h-0.35pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 43/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$309
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$124 / $53
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score42.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 28 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)28.0
Realized vol 7d0.30pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 7h.
Time to resolve129d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%