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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1243901

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

43.0% implied · bid 43.0¢ · ask 43.1¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 43.4%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability43.4%
Bid / ask / mid43.0¢ / 43.1¢ / 43.0¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.2%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d-4.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$70
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$83 / $284
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.44
RSI (14, hourly)26.7
Realized vol 7d0.66pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 7h.

Time to resolve129d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth