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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1243902

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?

20.4% implied · bid 20.4¢ · ask 20.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 20.4%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability20.4%
Bid / ask / mid20.4¢ / 20.5¢ / 20.4¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h-0.85pt
Change 7d-1.85pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$87
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$101 / $109
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.41
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.29pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 7h.

Time to resolve129d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth