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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1243903

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?

2.8% implied · bid 1.6¢ · ask 3.9¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.0%, down 2.3pt over 24h, on a 2.3¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.6¢ / 3.9¢ / 2.8¢
Spread2.3¢ (83.6%)
Change 24h-2.30pt
Change 7d+1.35pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 39/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$61
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$51 / $14
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score38.5 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.97
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.47pt
Change 1h-0.10pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 7h.

Time to resolve129d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth