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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1321564

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

52.8% implied · bid 52.0¢ · ask 53.7¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 52.9%, down 6.0pt over 24h, on a 1.7¢ spread.

Implied probability52.9%
Bid / ask / mid52.0¢ / 53.7¢ / 52.8¢
Spread1.7¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h-6.05pt
Change 7d-7.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$109,319
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$26 / $116
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score41.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 12 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 5.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-5.23
RSI (14, hourly)11.9
Realized vol 7d0.64pt
Change 1h+0.40pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 6h.

Time to resolve117d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth