← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1339767
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
13.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 17% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$64,932
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,060 / $7,104
Imbalance17% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score46.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.45pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 11h.
Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%