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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1345531

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?

55.0% implied · bid 54.0¢ · ask 56.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 54.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability54.0%
Bid / ask / mid54.0¢ / 56.0¢ / 55.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+4.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 34% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$20,180
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,246 / $6,950
Imbalance34% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score46.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.16
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.95pt
Change 1h+2.50pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth