← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1356656
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
91.5% implied · bid 91.0¢ · ask 92.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 92.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability92.0%
Bid / ask / mid91.0¢ / 92.0¢ / 91.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 24% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,893
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,209 / $8,577
Imbalance24% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.09
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 483d 12h.
Time to resolve483d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%