← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1357386
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.8%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability10.8%
Bid / ask / mid10.8¢ / 10.9¢ / 10.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+0.80pt
Longshot tax-42% historically (10-20¢ bucket)
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$717
Volume qualityPro
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,334 / $1,173
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.66
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.07pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 163d 4h.
Time to resolve163d 4h
Resolution sourcedocumented
Rules risklow (20)
Sum of outcomes100.0%
Price history
Probability timeline
Order-book depth
Cost to trade
Pro See what a live order would actually cost after walking the book, and the edge/EV/Kelly at that real price. Upgrade
Longshot tax — return by price bucket
This market's 10-20¢ bucket has returned -42% per $1, historically.
Who holds this
Pro See the top holders on each side, their concentration, and the whale-standoff flag. Upgrade
Other venues
Pro See the live Kalshi ↔ Polymarket gap, the after-fee combined cost of hedging both legs, and its history. Upgrade
How this settles
Settlement sourcesNot published.
DeadlineNot published.
Close → settlementNot published.
Summary
Not published.
Expanded rules
Not published.