← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1365860
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.5% implied · bid 1.4¢ · ask 1.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.6%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.
Implied probability1.6%
Bid / ask / mid1.4¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.5¢
Spread0.2¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d+0.60pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$690
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$930 / $810
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 29 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.82
RSI (14, hourly)28.6
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h-0.05pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 7h.
Time to resolve29d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%