← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1365861
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
83.5% implied · bid 83.0¢ · ask 84.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 84.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability84.0%
Bid / ask / mid83.0¢ / 84.0¢ / 83.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.2%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 57/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 22% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$11,950
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,647 / $18,453
Imbalance22% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score56.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.00
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 6h.
Time to resolve29d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%