← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1365870
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1.6% implied · bid 1.5¢ · ask 1.6¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 1.5%, down 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability1.5%
Bid / ask / mid1.5¢ / 1.6¢ / 1.6¢
Spread0.1¢ (6.5%)
Change 24h-0.40pt
Change 7d-0.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,149
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$645 / $211
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.43
RSI (14, hourly)25.0
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 7h.
Time to resolve29d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%