← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1365894
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
22.5% implied · bid 22.0¢ · ask 23.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, down 4.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid22.0¢ / 23.0¢ / 22.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.4%)
Change 24h-4.50pt
Change 7d-13.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,534
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$911 / $1,013
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score46.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.23
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d1.27pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 7h.
Time to resolve29d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%