← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1365904
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
57.0% implied · bid 56.5¢ · ask 57.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 56.6%, up 1.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability56.6%
Bid / ask / mid56.5¢ / 57.4¢ / 57.0¢
Spread0.9¢ (1.6%)
Change 24h+1.30pt
Change 7d+30.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 7% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10,878
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,540 / $3,278
Imbalance7% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score47.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 10 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.01
RSI (14, hourly)9.5
Realized vol 7d1.55pt
Change 1h-0.55pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 29d 6h.
Time to resolve29d 6h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%