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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1373645

Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch?

44.0% implied · bid 40.0¢ · ask 48.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 39.0%, up 3.5pt over 24h, on a 8.0¢ spread.

Implied probability39.0%
Bid / ask / mid40.0¢ / 48.0¢ / 44.0¢
Spread8.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+3.50pt
Change 7d-18.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 10/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$92
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$387 / $114
Imbalance5% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score10.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 83 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.07
RSI (14, hourly)83.3
Realized vol 7d1.61pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 12h.

Time to resolve118d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth