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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1373746

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

96.2% implied · bid 96.0¢ · ask 96.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 96.3%, up 1.8pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability96.3%
Bid / ask / mid96.0¢ / 96.3¢ / 96.2¢
Spread0.3¢ (0.3%)
Change 24h+1.75pt
Change 7d-1.35pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 92/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 31% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$9,426
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,490 / $81,064
Imbalance31% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score91.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 66 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.10
RSI (14, hourly)65.7
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+0.30pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 118d 7h.

Time to resolve118d 7h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth