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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1383905

Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?

60.0% implied · bid 58.0¢ · ask 62.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 57.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 4.0¢ spread.

Implied probability57.0%
Bid / ask / mid58.0¢ / 62.0¢ / 60.0¢
Spread4.0¢ (6.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+2.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 30/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$210 / $113
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.81
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.94pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 117d 9h.

Time to resolve117d 9h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth