← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1393070
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 0.2%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h-0.30pt
Change 7d-0.55pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$108,667
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$479 / $1,782
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score50.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.85
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 118d 11h.
Time to resolve118d 11h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%