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← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1439549

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

0.7% implied · bid 0.6¢ · ask 0.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.7%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability0.7%
Bid / ask / mid0.6¢ / 0.8¢ / 0.7¢
Spread0.2¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-0.65pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$31,208
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$289 / $2,312
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)4
Liquidity score50.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 43 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.35
RSI (14, hourly)42.9
Realized vol 7d0.03pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 33d 10h.

Time to resolve33d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth