← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1439550
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
3.7% implied · bid 3.5¢ · ask 3.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 4.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability4.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.5¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.7¢
Spread0.4¢ (10.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.95pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,681
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,235 / $399
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.3 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 15 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.58
RSI (14, hourly)15.0
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 64d 12h.
Time to resolve64d 12h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%