← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1439555
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
7.0% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 8.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,391
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$863 / $1,053
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.5σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.54
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 124d 10h.
Time to resolve124d 10h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%