← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1469734

Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?

4.5% implied · bid 4.4¢ · ask 4.7¢

The market prices this at 4.4%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability4.4%

Bid / ask / mid4.4¢ / 4.7¢ / 4.5¢

Spread0.3¢ (6.6%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+0.20pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$380

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,348 / $442

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score49.4 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.25

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.05pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%