← Explore · Polymarket · Market 1469737

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

84.3% implied · bid 83.7¢ · ask 84.8¢

The market prices this at 83.7%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability83.7%

Bid / ask / mid83.7¢ / 84.8¢ / 84.3¢

Spread1.1¢ (1.3%)

Change 24h+1.05pt

Change 7d+2.30pt

Deep and tight (score 83/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$41,267

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$24,799 / $51,378

Imbalance8% bid

Large trades (>$1k)5

Liquidity score82.6 / 100

RSI 86 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.73

RSI (14, hourly)85.7

Realized vol 7d0.18pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 117d 7h.

Time to resolve117d 7h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%